NEWS

January 2021 - Gardner Business Index Video Update

January's manufacturing business activity data pointed to continued expansion in New Orders and Production activity.

NEWS

A Strong End to 2020 for Durable Goods New Orders

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

In December, durable goods new orders reached their highest total since December 2018, growing at an accelerating rate for the second month in a row.

NEWS

Gardner Business Index for January 2021: 54.4

By: Michael Guckes

The Gardner Business Index (GBI) increased during January thanks to expansionary readings in five of the Index’s six components.  The move higher was led principally by supplier deliveries, production and new orders readings.  

NEWS

Durable Goods Spending Grows Nearly Twice the Historic Rate in December

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

While total consumer spending has contracted at its fastest rate in 35 years, consumer durable goods spending grew at its fastest rate in two decades.

NEWS

Income Skyrocketing, Spending Crashing

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

The current relationship between extreme accelerating growth in real disposable income and extreme accelerating contraction in consumer spending is unprecedented.

NEWS

Fourth Quarter US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Led Higher Thanks to Manufacturing Activity

By: Michael Guckes

4Q2020 U.S. GDP increased by 4% thanks in part to strength in manufacturing activity.

NEWS

Cutting Tool Orders Contract at Slowest Rate Since March 2020

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

The annual rate of contraction decelerated for the sixth straight month, indicating that the annual rate of contraction in cutting tool orders should bottom in the first quarter of 2021.

NEWS

Federal Programs to Help People Handle Debts Creating Unusual Credit Market Signals

Federal programs designed to help the country's financially worse off borrowers from overwhelming debt burdens are generally working.  These programs are proving to help the economically hardest hit and most vulnerable to the pandemic; however, the number of borrowers facing some form of long-duration credit stress is insidiously accelerating.

NEWS

Growing Railcar Units Activity Consistent with Growing Durable Goods Orders

By: Michael Guckes

Durable goods new orders during the fourth quarter of 2020 were showing strong year-over-year gains.  One high-frequency measure that can serve as a proxy for more recent durable goods orders is railcar activity measured weekly.

NEWS

Housing Permits Up 25% in December

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

That’s the fastest rate of growth in housing permits since June 2015 and the second-fastest since July 2013.

NEWS

Monetary Base at Highest Level Ever in December

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

Starting from a much higher level, the monetary base is growing almost as fast as it did in 2008-2009. Typically, this leads to increased capital equipment consumption.

NEWS

Durable Goods Production Contraction Decelerates

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

Durable goods production contracted at its slowest rate since February 2020 in December.