NEWS

Housing Permits Grow 16.8% in September

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

COVID-19, work-from-home policies and extremely low mortgage rates have created demand for new homes.

NEWS

Surge in New Orders Drives Moldmaking Index Expansion

By: Michael Guckes

The Moldmaking and mold industry has seen a surge in business activity led by expanding new orders.  This occurs when a growing proportion of respondents each month signals that new orders are increasing.  Gardner Intelligence sat down with Christina Fuges, Editorial Director of MoldMaking Technology Magazine (MMT), to discuss this and more.  Click here to watch the interview.

NEWS

Surging E-commerce Transactions Mean That Making the Right Product is Not Enough, You Also Need to Have the Right Channel

By: Michael Guckes

E-commerce sales since 1999 have grown on average by 20-percent annually.   Yet in this unusual year, e-commerce sales increased by 32-percent in just the second quarter of 2020 as people changed their purchasing behavior and their demand for certain goods vastly changed.  For comparison sake, using its historical growth rate the industry would have needed 1 ¾ years to grow the same amount it did in just these three short months.

NEWS

Rebound in Vehicle Demand Is Built On Borrowed Money

By: Michael Guckes

Consumer purchases of vehicles in the second half of 2020 have been surprisingly strong.  In an unexpected move, luxury brands and pick-up trucks have led the rebound.  All of this has been made possible by low interest rates and increased borrowing in the auto-loan market.

NEWS

Industrial Production Rebound Pauses in September

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

The recovery in durable goods production took a slight pause in September, but leading indicators still point to more upside in production.

NEWS

Capacity Utilization Contraction Slowing

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

The rate of contraction in durable goods capacity utilization should bottom out in the 4th quarter of 2020, according to the Gardner Business Index.

NEWS

Real 10-Yr Rate Grinding Slowly Higher

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

The Federal Reserve has stated it will not pursue negative interest rates. Therefore, the only way for the change to be more negative is for inflation to increase, which is why the Federal Reserve has stated a new policy of average inflation targeting.

NEWS

Bottom in Machine Tool Orders in Sight

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

The trend in the GBI: Metalworking indicates that machine tool orders will bottom out sometime between September and the first quarter of 2021.

NEWS

Durable Goods New Orders Nearing a Bottom

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

A burst in consumer durable goods spending indicates that the annual rate of contraction in durable goods new orders may be near a bottom.

NEWS

Disposable Income Growth Above Average for 5th Month

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

While disposable income growth was above its historic average rate, a significantly higher proportion of income was still coming from government transfer payments.

NEWS

Consumer Durable Goods Spending Hits All-Time High for 3rd Straight Month

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

Spending patterns are changing due to the pandemic. Service and experience items are out. Goods that allow more isolated entertainment or tie in with a life of working from home are in.

NEWS

Gardner Business Index: September 2020

By: Michael Guckes

The Gardner Business Index reported a second consecutive month of expansionary activity in September.  Large manufacturers and those serving the automotive and medical industries helped propel the Index higher.