NEWS

Change in 10-Yr Rate Negative for 13th Month

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

The real 10-yr Treasury rate was negative for the fifth time in eight months, keeping the annual change in the rate negative for the 13th month in a row.

NEWS

Monetary Base Grows Faster for Second Month

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

Accelerating growth in the monetary base is a positive sign for capital equipment consumption later in 2020.

NEWS

Capacity Utilization Contraction Rate to Bottom Around June 2020

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

Compared with one year ago, capacity utilization contracted 2.4%.

NEWS

Production Growth Slower for 11th Month

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

Durable goods production growth will likely turn to contraction in the next month or two.

NEWS

Machine Tool Unit Orders Show Improvement in December

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

Machine unit orders contracted just 1.2% in December after four consecutive months of contracting more than 23%.

NEWS

Durable Goods Orders Contract Faster

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

While new orders in durable goods contracted at their fastest annual rate in December, the rate of contraction should begin to slow in early 2020.

NEWS

December Income Grows at Slowest Rate Since January 2017

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

In December 2019, real disposable income was $15,107 billion, which was lower than two of the last three months.

NEWS

Durable Goods Spending Grows 8.0% in December

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

December’s durable goods spending grew at its fastest rate since May 2018.

NEWS

Encouraging GBI Implies Expanding Domestic Demand

By: Michael Guckes

January’s GBI reading ends a five-month trend of accelerating contraction in manufacturing, representing the highest Index reading since June of 2019.

NEWS

Possible Turning Point in Cutting Tool Orders in 2020

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

In November, cutting tool orders contracted 11.3%, the fastest rate of contraction since July 2016.

NEWS

Housing Permits Up 12.5% in December

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

December was third month in the last four that housing permits increased more than 12%.

NEWS

Monetary Base Grows for First Time Since February 2018

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

In December, the monetary base was $3.427 trillion, which was its highest level since November 2018.