NEWS

Personal Income Unchanged in March

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

Real disposable income grew just 0.1% compared with one year ago and reached its lowest level since May 2019.

NEWS

Higher Percent of Manufacturers Open Normal or Expanded Hours with Reduced Staffing

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

The percent of manufacturers that were closed dropped to 9% from 16% the week prior. That decrease was split between manufacturers open usual hours or expanded hours. Meanwhile, nearly 50% of manufacturers were operating with some level of reduced staff.

NEWS

Housing Permits Grow Almost 10% in March

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

March housing permits were at their highest level since October 2019.

NEWS

Cutting Tool Orders Below $190 Million for Three of the Last Four Months

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

February cutting tool orders were $188.2 million, down 9.5% from one year ago.

NEWS

Conditions for Manufacturers Not Serving Medical are Notably Different

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

In the most recent survey, there was a notable decrease in the percent of manufacturers serving the medical industry, 32% in the most recent week versus 41% the week prior. This seemed to have a significant impact on the results of the survey and indicated that those manufacturers not serving the medical industry were facing a different situation than those serving the medical industry.

NEWS

Capacity Utilization Below 70% for First Time Since June 2010

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

Compared with one year ago, capacity utilization contracted 10.9%. This was the 10th month in a row and the 11th of the last 12 months that capacity utilization contracted.

NEWS

Production Index Drops Below 100 for First Time Since July 2016

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

Compared with one year ago, the index contracted 9.7%, which was the seventh straight month of contraction.

NEWS

History of Employment and Credit Conditions Suggest Challenges Ahead

By: Michael Guckes

There is a strong relationship between the unemployment rate and the number of delinquent and defaulted loans.  Since the first jump in unemployment claims on March 21st and through April 11th, over 22 million people have filed unemployment insurance claims.  This vast increase in unemployment suggest that near-term credit conditions are very likely to deteriorate.

NEWS

Change in 10-Yr Treasury Rate Lowest Since July 2012

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

In March, the year-over-year change in the real rate was -133 basis points. The change was negative for the 15th month in a row. This was the lowest level for the year-over-change since  December 2016.

NEWS

Machine Tool Orders: Annual Rate of Contraction Accelerates

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

In February, the annual rate of contraction of machine tool orders in both units and dollars contracted faster. This was expected as the GBI: Metalworking, which leads machine tool orders by 7-12 months, rate of contraction was just starting to bottom.

NEWS

Monetary Base Grows at Fastest Rate Since September 2014

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

In March, the monetary base grew 14.8% as the Federal Reserve revived programs from the Great Recession in 2008-2009.

NEWS

More Manufacturers Experiencing Changes to Orders and Supply Chains due to COVID-19

By: Steven Kline, Jr.

During the week of April 6th, more manufacturers experienced changes to standing orders, business practices, lead times, supplier access and materials/parts availability. However, the percent of manufacturers making adjustments to their business, as a result, was generally unchanged.